China plans to increase its defence spending by 7.2% this year, maintaining a consistent growth rate as the country faces challenges from three years of slow economic expansion and escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Taiwan and Ukraine. This increase, which was announced on Wednesday in a government report to be presented in parliament, matches last year’s growth rate. It significantly exceeds China’s economic growth target of approximately 5% for this year, a figure that analysts regard as both anticipated and indicative of Beijing’s ambitions for ongoing military modernization in the face of complex geopolitical issues.
Since Xi became president and commander-in-chief more than a decade ago, the defence budget has ballooned to 1.78 trillion yuan ($245.65 billion) this year from 720 billion yuan in 2013.
Xi aims to complete full military modernisation by 2035, with China’s military developing new missiles, ships, submarines and surveillance technologies.
This year’s report continues to stress the importance of combat readiness and scientific and strategic improvements but also pledges to “continue improving the political conduct of the military” – an apparent reference to numerous corruption scandals affecting the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).
Two former defence ministers and a Central Military Commission member have been among those removed in the last two years.
Regional military attaches are closely watching the budget and the report, with some noting that the combat readiness references will mean further intense drills and deployments around Taiwan and across the wider region.
Chinese naval ships staged an unprecedented live-fire drill in the Tasman Sea in February, forcing commercial aircraft to be diverted.
The London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies noted in a survey in February of the world’s militaries that given China’s wider economic constraints, “authorities face increasingly sharp questions about which areas to prioritise”.
China remains the world’s second-biggest military spender behind the United States, whose proposed military budget for 2025 is $850 billion.
Taiwan-based security analyst Wen-Ti Sung said Beijing was eager to project stability with moderate language and stable defence budgeting, even as it grew in strength, in contrast with the United States under new President Donald Trump.
“Beijing is trying to make acceptance of China as the relatively more predictable superpower easy as possible for others,” said Sung, a non-resident fellow at the Atlantic Council.
Team BharatShakti (With inputs from Reuters)
